0x5CDFf770602CFE2D322B04B6D289Ea71b9afE27c-1773723606210
0x4327d28c558204cd69a2f90ed439714c6158fc28
- Realised P&L
- $-19.91
- Volume
- $179.12
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.235 | $3.06 | −$1.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.030 | $1.60 | −$3.39 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.74 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.48 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3544152624 | $4.62 |
| 09-25 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0934579439 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 10:43 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $9.74 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.48 |