PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x43274A4dc68AF54870F1b8cEb1D5e676d040288F-1781207957594

0x43274a4dc68af54870f1b8ceb1d5e676d040288f

Realised P&L
$-42.82
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$107.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26? · Yes0.3570.998$87.78+$56.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 26? · No0.9370.999$19.41+$1.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 26? · Yes0.0840.002$0.15−$8.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 26? · Yes0.5700.001$0.05−$56.95
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 8? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$4.25
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29? · No0.6540.000$0.00−$3.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$0.74
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 28? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 3? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00−$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 29? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 18:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.23$1.51
07-10 08:59Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 10?BUY0.15$1.13
07-10 02:34Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?SELL0.28$1.96
07-10 02:16Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?BUY0.2$1.40
07-10 00:07Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 10?SELL0.57$1.27
07-10 00:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 10?SELL0.63$1.26
07-09 23:33Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 10?BUY0.71$3.55
07-09 21:53Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 9?BUY0.889$4.45
07-09 21:44Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?BUY0.5$1.50
07-09 19:55Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?BUY0.64$3.20
07-09 19:40Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?SELL0.28$1.40
07-09 18:55Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?BUY0.31$1.55
07-09 18:36Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 10?SELL0.72$1.44
07-09 18:05Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 10?BUY0.74$1.48
07-09 17:46Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 9?SELL0.43$2.15