0x43252a7953c99466e61149f968ad76988ab7aaac
0x43252a7953c99466e61149f968ad76988ab7aaac
- Realised P&L
- $53.34
- Volume
- $40.80
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $89.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar130.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys | 0.500 | 0.615 | $60.69 | +$11.35 |
| Cowboys Team Total: O/U 27.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.565 | $28.73 | +$3.31 |
| Spread: Jacksonville State (-2.5) · Jacksonville State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.04at 0.5001H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
- +$21.55at 0.500Spread: Florida International (-5.5)
- +$19.16at 0.500Spread: Troy (-10.5)
- +$13.29at 0.500Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
- +$7.58at 0.500Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves