PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x43242735CcC46DedEb81DFC4E1e2E4d9CF7e100e-1776555186397

0x43242735ccc46dedeb81dfc4e1e2e4d9cf7e100e

Realised P&L
$281.34
Volume
$88.1k
Markets traded
1,223
Open portfolio
$9.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,223
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 07:07Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.94$4.69
10-03 00:11Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 3?BUY0.95$4.75
10-02 21:03Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 2?SELL0.97$4.85
10-02 12:08Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 2?BUY0.95$4.75
10-01 12:38Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 1?BUY0.87$4.34
09-27 16:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.3499999804$1.79
09-26 12:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?BUY0.3699999377$1.90
09-24 23:47Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.4799999687$2.45
09-24 14:44Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.8388814858$60.00
09-23 23:41Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.2307692166$1.25
09-23 11:39Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on September 23?SELL0.99$4.93
09-23 05:52Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on September 23?BUY0.87$4.34
09-22 12:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23?BUY0.4$2.04
09-19 15:40Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.3399999883$1.75
09-19 14:24Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 19?SELL0.99$4.95