0x43207a3828cf3cb401b66ec52922eb3e48d7dad2
0x43207a3828cf3cb401b66ec52922eb3e48d7dad2
- Realised P&L
- $1.66
- Volume
- $300.73
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.545 | $0.86 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.41at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.53at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$3.39at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$3.14at 0.247SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:48 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:59 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:53 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:59 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:54 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |