0x430c26fd01e9829afd94be407c69c4bfd96ae1d9
0x430c26fd01e9829afd94be407c69c4bfd96ae1d9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $208.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.593 | 0.835 | $208.29 | +$60.29 |
| Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$318.45at 0.037Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$111.82at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$92.52at 0.743Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$78.93at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$78.29at 0.693Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:12 | Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 02:11 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.0563540661 | $12.26 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.85 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.999 | $40.50 |
| 09-25 02:08 | Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $90.00 |
| 09-25 02:07 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 02:05 | Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5691266811 | $58.00 |
| 09-25 02:04 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6743059658 | $70.00 |
| 09-25 02:03 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $301.39 |
| 09-25 02:01 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8995863863 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 01:52 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 01:50 | Sabres vs. Red Wings | SELL | 0.99 | $32.62 |
| 09-25 01:37 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5436044864 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5591798674 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Sabres vs. Red Wings | SELL | 0.3604416094 | $18.36 |