jason11250
0x4309b8fa35a26ac2eef6532147d7e5a6e5697456
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $5.93M
- Markets traded
- 1,448
- Open portfolio
- $12.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,448
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.500Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Will France win on 2026-07-14?
- +$666.67at 0.500Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$488.89at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.0912800819 | $3.57 |
| 09-12 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.52 |
| 09-12 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.73 |
| 09-12 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.60 |
| 09-12 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.32 |
| 09-12 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.58 |
| 09-12 02:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.5 | $25.96 |
| 09-12 02:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.15 |
| 09-12 02:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 09-11 22:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.94 |
| 09-11 22:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.69 | $52.09 |
| 09-11 22:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.68 | $56.92 |
| 09-10 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |