eskymakos
0x4307112c275ddbbadf3783c0bc61df0c423b13e9
- Realised P&L
- $29.79
- Volume
- $169.90
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $34.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.540 | $15.90 | +$5.90 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $7.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.925 | $6.90 | +$1.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.225 | $4.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.32at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$10.15at 0.502Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$-0.44at 0.392Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:13 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? | BUY | 0.3396226351 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 16:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2599999981 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2706046059 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.49 |
| 09-18 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 13:37 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.87 |
| 09-18 13:10 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 13:04 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |