Finnix
0x4304a09538cf987063b6bcaf71a46d07ebf85e7b
- Realised P&L
- $16.89
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $33.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.784 | 0.795 | $27.45 | +$0.38 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No | 0.440 | 0.412 | $3.30 | −$0.22 |
| Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.205 | $2.56 | −$0.56 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.25at 0.520Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
- +$12.74at 0.410Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.48at 0.470Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.12at 0.700Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
- +$7.68at 0.619U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 01:09 | Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.889 | $22.23 |
| 08-31 16:35 | Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 08:08 | Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $13.81 |
| 08-19 22:06 | Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.31 |
| 08-15 00:56 | Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.89 |
| 08-15 00:56 | Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-14 11:30 | Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.41 |
| 08-09 15:40 | Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.13 |
| 08-09 15:39 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-08 16:09 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.85 | $22.10 |
| 08-08 16:07 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.13 |
| 08-08 16:06 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-08 16:06 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $19.81 |
| 08-06 20:30 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 07-12 02:26 | Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.52 |