mikhahaha
0x42feceaa6c6a93cd206bb472d4f59eda38ebea66
- Realised P&L
- $14.24
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $206.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.965 | $54.64 | +$0.42 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.983 | $53.05 | −$0.08 |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No | 0.946 | 0.927 | $51.97 | −$1.04 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.961 | 0.859 | $47.22 | −$5.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.940Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
- +$2.60at 0.948Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$2.28at 0.957Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$1.64at 0.930Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.983Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 10:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999974 | $21.76 |