0x42f01b7c5c20570Db68E0127675B3f5D2aF6fc65-1768338366856
0x42f01b7c5c20570db68e0127675b3f5d2af6fc65
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $438.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.107Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.177Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$987.32at 0.661Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$801.00at 0.680Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$455.56at 0.180Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:38 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0666910473 | $368.92 |
| 09-06 12:54 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $79.96 |
| 09-04 10:24 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0698367984 | $69.84 |
| 08-31 05:54 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $236.98 |
| 08-29 09:33 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0060962229 | $119.27 |
| 08-29 09:32 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0196440956 | $46.23 |
| 08-29 09:32 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $194.52 |
| 08-28 09:29 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $144.36 |
| 08-28 09:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0199213402 | $39.38 |
| 08-28 09:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0885751964 | $280.76 |
| 08-28 09:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.113 | $137.05 |
| 08-27 18:52 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $55.84 |
| 08-27 18:52 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.021 | $270.67 |
| 08-27 07:25 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.027560711 | $115.57 |
| 08-27 07:25 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $145.17 |