Cess
0x42e6583f6f87215f489b9ed06ce55b7bc61a8e78
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $164.3k
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $984.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$477.48at 0.511Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$360.00at 0.480Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?
- +$277.82at 0.432Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?
- +$276.38at 0.632Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
- +$245.88at 0.632Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:24 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? | BUY | 0.8763213553 | $138.00 |
| 10-02 14:11 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | SELL | 0.0305050647 | $10.87 |
| 10-02 14:07 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-02 12:32 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | SELL | 0.9599402108 | $366.06 |
| 10-02 12:27 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | SELL | 0.98 | $45.08 |
| 10-02 08:51 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.1281084777 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 16:51 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-01 16:49 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | SELL | 0.79 | $94.80 |
| 10-01 16:48 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $19.85 |
| 09-30 13:33 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 09-30 05:31 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.15 | $21.00 |
| 09-29 19:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.9584201825 | $682.87 |
| 09-29 19:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.959 | $227.76 |
| 09-29 13:49 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | BUY | 0.1455882351 | $33.00 |