PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cess

0x42e6583f6f87215f489b9ed06ce55b7bc61a8e78

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$164.3k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$984.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes0.7390.983$454.98+$112.84
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? · No0.8400.915$407.31+$33.42
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m? · No0.7700.725$79.75−$4.95
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · Yes0.2600.240$24.00−$2.00
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? · No0.7300.840$16.80+$2.20
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? · Yes0.2400.100$2.00−$2.80
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A · NRG0.3100.000$0.00−$23.36
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$11.93
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$64.72
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 400m and 410m? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$11.93
Magic vs. Kings · Kings0.4710.000$0.00−$14.13
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$74.40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 390m and 400m? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$11.93
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$0.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:24Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?BUY0.8763213553$138.00
10-02 14:11Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?SELL0.0305050647$10.87
10-02 14:07Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?BUY0.24$4.80
10-02 12:32Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?BUY0.73$14.60
10-02 12:30Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?SELL0.9599402108$366.06
10-02 12:27Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?SELL0.98$45.08
10-02 08:51Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?BUY0.1281084777$20.00
10-01 16:51Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.29$58.00
10-01 16:49Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?SELL0.79$94.80
10-01 16:48Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?BUY0.1799999996$19.85
09-30 13:33Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?BUY0.74$37.00
09-30 05:31Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?BUY0.15$21.00
09-29 19:35Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.9584201825$682.87
09-29 19:15Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.959$227.76
09-29 13:49Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?BUY0.1455882351$33.00