PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x42e5fde15c9964e74deb28175adebbb3e16b6b73

Realised P&L
$-8.76
Volume
$608.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$48.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9780.979$14.68+$0.01
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.5000.895$9.85+$4.34
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7700.880$9.68+$1.21
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9100.959$5.75+$0.29
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7900.805$4.83+$0.09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.215$2.15$6.35
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.041$2.01$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 16:42Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1$1.60
06-25 23:18Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$6.56
06-04 06:16Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.978$14.67
06-01 20:48China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.97$4.85
06-01 20:48Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$4.45
06-01 20:47Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.946$4.73
06-01 20:47Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.923$8.31
05-21 02:01Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.921$8.29
05-21 02:01Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.464$2.78
05-21 02:00Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.536$3.75
05-21 02:00Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.72$6.48
05-21 02:00Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$6.02
05-21 02:00Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.15$2.25
04-18 04:31Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8$9.60
04-16 03:47Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.583$2.92