yssb
0x42e5ca21784929315826a32bc850ad927fd4c9a7
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $217.5k
- Markets traded
- 885
- Open portfolio
- $48.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded885
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.18at 0.027Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$319.13at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?
- +$281.49at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
- +$233.15at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?
- +$214.59at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3275655877 | $9.61 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.343924282 | $13.17 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.009432574 | $1.08 |
| 10-05 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.03797591 | $5.74 |
| 10-05 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0292614057 | $1.19 |
| 10-05 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-05 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.107 | $0.54 |
| 10-05 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.0327941739 | $3.77 |
| 10-05 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.0463012603 | $4.63 |
| 10-05 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1323333333 | $1.98 |
| 09-29 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.0832634033 | $0.71 |
| 09-29 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.43 |
| 09-29 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.91 | $129.72 |
| 09-29 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.8930921831 | $98.14 |
| 09-29 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |