Coconuts89
0x42e53bec12a00ca43156031079a3f049d54b5ade
- Realised P&L
- $525.44
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $434.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.53at 0.393Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$194.07at 0.393Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$93.09at 0.670Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$84.78at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$83.42at 0.303Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 20:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 20:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.2163529711 | $51.08 |
| 09-13 18:07 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 09:44 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 17:58 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.6512086661 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 17:57 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 17:56 | Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.7179999924 | $40.00 |
| 09-10 15:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $118.57 |
| 09-05 06:44 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 15:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.34 |
| 08-30 11:43 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.13 | $23.21 |
| 08-28 11:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 08-28 11:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1910584639 | $7.00 |
| 08-28 11:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999983 | $7.00 |