PolyBot

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Traders

Coconuts89

0x42e53bec12a00ca43156031079a3f049d54b5ade

Realised P&L
$525.44
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$434.07

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3180.360$170.27+$20.27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7800.961$61.60+$11.60
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · No0.7180.718$39.97$0.03
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8180.427$31.34$28.66
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.7400.725$29.39$0.61
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2740.161$23.43$16.57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.6510.655$20.12+$0.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.4800.625$19.53+$4.53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2110.162$15.27$4.73
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.105$13.35+$3.35
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0480.035$7.37$2.63
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2500.041$2.43$12.57
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No0.6040.000$0.00$10.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:33Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.48$15.00
09-13 20:14Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.25$15.00
09-13 20:14Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.2163529711$51.08
09-13 18:07Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.08$10.00
09-11 09:44Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1799999986$20.00
09-10 17:58Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.6512086661$20.00
09-10 17:57Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.739999997$30.00
09-10 17:56Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?BUY0.7179999924$40.00
09-10 15:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.83$118.57
09-05 06:44Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
09-04 15:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$67.34
08-30 11:43Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.13$23.21
08-28 11:45Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999859$7.00
08-28 11:45Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?BUY0.1910584639$7.00
08-28 11:45Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?BUY0.179999983$7.00