0x42e5296979af4b1fc2cae2cb4aeb612f30aea62e
0x42e5296979af4b1fc2cae2cb4aeb612f30aea62e
- Realised P&L
- $14.13
- Volume
- $950.12
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $10.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.530 | 0.535 | $7.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.480 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.14at 0.535Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$10.44at 0.373Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?
- +$6.17at 0.646Spread: Spain (-3.5)
- +$5.26at 0.363Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$2.57at 0.545Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:37 | Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:36 | Lakers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 02:33 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.35 | $1.78 |
| 10-06 00:54 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:10 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:29 | China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 14:35 | Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 14:27 | Portugal to score first vs. Norway? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.90 |
| 10-04 14:27 | Croatia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 14:25 | Portugal vs. Norway: Neither team to score first? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.71 |
| 10-04 14:23 | Portugal to score first vs. Norway? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:23 | Portugal vs. Norway: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 14:23 | Portugal to score first vs. Norway? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:23 | Portugal vs. Norway: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |