0x42E44Bb02dD4a84D34A0161933722D75A1660Fca-1783087452035
0x42e44bb02dd4a84d34a0161933722d75a1660fca
- Realised P&L
- $-25.86
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $5.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.34at 0.020UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?
- +$-1.05at 0.010Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$-1.05at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
- +$-1.05at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$-1.33at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $1.17 |
| 09-12 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:14 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-11 10:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 09-08 11:16 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 09-04 18:14 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 07-04 10:54 | Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 07-04 10:54 | Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-23 15:05 | Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 06-23 12:33 | Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.29 |
| 06-17 17:05 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 06-17 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 06-17 15:25 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 06-17 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0039024695 | $1.00 |