0x42ddaa912618ebff40e030c46f8dabca5a496683
0x42ddaa912618ebff40e030c46f8dabca5a496683
- Realised P&L
- $27.43
- Volume
- $685.66
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $14.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.565 | $4.96 | +$0.57 |
| Spread: SMU (-35.5) · Missouri State | 0.500 | 0.570 | $4.91 | +$0.60 |
| Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.505 | $4.76 | +$0.05 |
| Navy vs. UAB · Navy | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.10at 0.560Spread: Navy (-7.5)
- +$7.84at 0.310Falcons vs. Packers
- +$7.02at 0.410Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
- +$4.78at 0.512San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:21 | Navy vs. UAB | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-26 02:20 | Spread: Navy (-7.5) | SELL | 0.991 | $27.82 |
| 09-25 11:07 | Spread: Navy (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5599999915 | $15.72 |
| 09-24 13:28 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $5.03 |
| 09-24 13:26 | Falcons vs. Packers | SELL | 0.3 | $8.20 |
| 09-24 13:26 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.309999996 | $8.47 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.17 | $3.66 |
| 09-23 23:55 | Falcons vs. Packers | SELL | 0.3 | $4.63 |
| 09-23 04:03 | San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.5 | $4.90 |