VrtrtrQ
0x42dc6499465db8750067f16563d3acf442494b97
- Realised P&L
- $4.31
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.930 | $1.18 | +$0.06 |
| Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.26at 0.800Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
- +$1.05at 0.740Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?
- +$0.52at 0.700UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelsea
- +$0.39at 0.720Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.740Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 07:11 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $50.15 |
| 06-18 07:11 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.95 |
| 06-15 05:45 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 05:45 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 06-15 05:44 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 05:44 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 07:13 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $76.92 |
| 05-04 11:57 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $77.00 |
| 02-19 06:09 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $63.93 |
| 02-17 06:28 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $64.00 |
| 12-26 08:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 12-26 08:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.17 |
| 12-26 08:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 12-13 05:54 | Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 12-13 05:54 | Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.61 |