PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x42d9CcB257A9661F0e64fFC8aE1A099D6e01f440-1773248726444

0x42d9ccb257a9661f0e64ffc8ae1a099d6e01f440

Realised P&L
$73.56
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$71.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4310.400$46.34−$3.66
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4800.295$18.44−$11.56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0930.021$6.61−$23.39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$35.00
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$14.00
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5870.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:50Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?BUY0.48$30.00
10-31 21:49Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4315739502$50.00
10-30 04:59Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4$148.15
10-26 17:26Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
07-08 16:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999939$22.67
07-08 16:09Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.14$35.00
05-11 15:28Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0929290734$25.00
05-11 14:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999926$2.23
05-11 14:54Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0939999836$5.00
03-11 17:33Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
03-11 17:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?BUY0.5299999982$15.00
03-11 17:18Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?BUY0.2399999883$14.00
03-11 17:15Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?BUY0.5870646629$10.00