lalacar
0x42d5ed6248ba552c73004412db273dca944a070c
- Realised P&L
- $-281.08
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $416.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.07at 0.191Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.34at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$21.29at 0.716Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$21.13at 0.736Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$19.84at 0.460Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 02:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 07-08 03:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.186 | $16.10 |
| 07-04 10:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 07-04 10:17 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.72 |
| 06-30 03:30 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 06-25 01:35 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.061 | $12.20 |
| 06-25 01:29 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 06-19 03:11 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.053 | $10.60 |
| 06-18 02:19 | Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 02:17 | Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 06-17 05:28 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 06-17 05:20 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.76 | $60.80 |
| 06-17 05:19 | Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 06-17 05:17 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 06-17 05:17 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |