0x42d0e0f8D412136bF30d32F033c802a68b0c304D-1722982976652
0x42d0e0f8d412136bf30d32f033c802a68b0c304d
- Realised P&L
- $429.73
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $25.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.99at 0.160Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
- +$65.43at 0.180Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
- +$63.36at 0.200Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
- +$62.38at 0.200Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
- +$61.08at 0.220Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:40 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:28 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 07-19 13:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 07-08 13:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $3.76 |
| 07-07 14:26 | Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 06-25 15:04 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0338780042 | $6.30 |
| 06-21 14:02 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.41 |
| 06-21 13:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $28.77 |
| 06-15 14:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.059 | $5.90 |
| 06-13 14:57 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 05-05 14:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 05-01 14:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 04-19 14:24 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.061 | $6.10 |
| 04-16 14:04 | Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.156 | $4.36 |
| 04-11 14:10 | Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |