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0x42d0e0f8D412136bF30d32F033c802a68b0c304D-1722982976652

0x42d0e0f8d412136bf30d32f033c802a68b0c304d

Realised P&L
$429.73
Volume
$31.3k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$25.65

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? · No0.8100.825$6.60+$0.12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1040.080$3.84$1.16
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? · Yes0.1200.105$3.36$0.48
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? · Yes0.1200.145$2.32+$0.40
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.110$1.76$0.16
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$1.52$0.40
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$1.52$0.40
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? · Yes0.1200.090$1.44$0.48
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$1.42$0.37
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? · Yes0.1200.140$0.82+$0.12
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? · Yes0.1200.145$0.72+$0.13
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.002$0.17$0.85
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$18.60
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$14.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 13:40Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-22 12:28Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.14$4.20
07-19 13:45Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.33$3.30
07-08 13:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.188$3.76
07-07 14:26Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.61$3.05
06-25 15:04Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0338780042$6.30
06-21 14:02Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.049$0.41
06-21 13:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.959$28.77
06-15 14:30Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.059$5.90
06-13 14:57Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.014$1.40
05-05 14:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.41$4.10
05-01 14:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.62$6.20
04-19 14:24Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.061$6.10
04-16 14:04Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?BUY0.156$4.36
04-11 14:10Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?BUY0.42$2.10