0x42ce78ab3b9a70709a4db281916abfa8b51ab150
0x42ce78ab3b9a70709a4db281916abfa8b51ab150
- Realised P&L
- $516.64
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $129.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik · Jakub Mensik | 0.610 | 0.625 | $110.88 | +$2.66 |
| Purdue vs. Illinois: O/U 61.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.515 | $18.46 | +$0.54 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery · Arthur Fery | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.05 |
| Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+1.5) · Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.34at 0.239Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud
- +$122.11at 0.442Penguins vs. Flyers
- +$70.59at 0.389Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$18.87at 0.500Set 1 Winner: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:33 | Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-01 03:27 | Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $112.65 |
| 10-01 02:35 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.23 | $95.83 |
| 10-01 00:48 | Penguins vs. Flyers | SELL | 0.98 | $116.88 |
| 10-01 00:48 | Penguins vs. Flyers | SELL | 0.981 | $105.95 |
| 09-30 23:24 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.609999998 | $108.22 |
| 09-30 21:10 | Penguins vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.4299999996 | $97.73 |
| 09-30 21:03 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.8 | $140.14 |
| 09-30 20:53 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.35 | $19.44 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.39 | $46.65 |