PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x42cce211b7e1631ea35a8afb1bf0cfe5327b478c

Realised P&L
$-0.55
Volume
$26.71
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$7.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7501.000$1.33+$0.33
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.910$1.17+$0.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$1.12+$0.12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3000.330$1.10+$0.10
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7100.705$0.99$0.01
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.415$0.99$0.01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.2500.115$0.46$0.54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.165$0.22$0.78
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4300.075$0.17$0.83
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.085$0.16$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 16:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-05 08:25Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-05 00:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.25$1.00
08-04 16:09Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-04 08:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$1.00
08-03 23:59Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-03 15:59Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-03 07:58Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
08-02 21:00Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 01:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$1.00
08-01 16:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$1.00
08-01 00:21Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 16:20Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00