2percent
0x42bb0f778d56be0b71e1d7fdc8ca4f45ed9b9eda
- Realised P&L
- $-312.74
- Volume
- $130.9k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $17.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.37at 0.500US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$76.64at 0.105Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$52.97at 0.250Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
- +$46.35at 0.269Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$42.77at 0.255Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 11:46 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.61 |
| 07-07 11:37 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 07-07 11:34 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 07-07 11:28 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.145 | $1.45 |
| 07-07 11:28 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 06-21 15:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 06-20 19:00 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.126 | $1.26 |
| 06-20 18:58 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 06-20 18:58 | Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 06-19 16:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.137 | $2.74 |
| 06-19 16:45 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 16:43 | Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 06-19 16:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.265 | $7.95 |
| 06-19 16:31 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $13.35 |
| 05-21 11:23 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |