PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2percent

0x42bb0f778d56be0b71e1d7fdc8ca4f45ed9b9eda

Realised P&L
$-312.74
Volume
$130.9k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$17.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0430.042$5.35$0.13
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.044$2.64$6.96
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1400.128$2.56$0.24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$1.30$0.50
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.3300.059$1.17$5.43
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.1300.058$1.15$1.45
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0800.080$1.10$0.01
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1800.018$0.88$8.13
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1100.036$0.73$1.47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0350.011$0.42$0.98
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.2000.011$0.23$3.77
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.10
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.70
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.60
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 11:46Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023$1.61
07-07 11:37Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.43$12.90
07-07 11:34Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.53$5.30
07-07 11:28Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.145$1.45
07-07 11:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.18$3.60
06-21 15:28Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.43$4.30
06-20 19:00Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.126$1.26
06-20 18:58Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.44$8.80
06-20 18:58Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5BUY0.39$7.80
06-19 16:48Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.137$2.74
06-19 16:45Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.4$4.00
06-19 16:43Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5BUY0.59$11.80
06-19 16:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.265$7.95
06-19 16:31Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.49$13.35
05-21 11:23Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.31$3.10