Vish399
0x42b98156e6beb2d0b3dfd2b806ebc9894e14e11b
- Realised P&L
- $95.52
- Volume
- $922.01
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $124.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India A win? · No | 0.498 | 0.865 | $89.44 | +$37.91 |
| Will the match end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.740 | $35.50 | +$23.51 |
| Will New Zealand A win? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.27at 0.255Will the match end in a draw?
- +$29.45at 0.912ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique
- +$19.00at 0.810Will the match end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 09:30 | ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique | SELL | 0.978 | $304.25 |
| 10-23 09:01 | ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique | BUY | 0.9182675303 | $65.22 |
| 10-23 08:53 | ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique | BUY | 0.9064310345 | $315.44 |
| 10-13 07:21 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.263 | $5.26 |
| 10-13 07:19 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.242 | $17.85 |
| 10-13 07:19 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.242 | $2.42 |