ruteni
0x42b904c89e4512644c1e9f534168e46a9cffded7
- Realised P&L
- $-563.89
- Volume
- $332.3k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $56.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? · No | 0.482 | 0.525 | $56.17 | +$4.61 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.59 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.95 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.34at 0.655Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
- +$527.75at 0.959Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$395.46at 0.796Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
- +$383.07at 0.559Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
- +$351.59at 0.719Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:23 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $36.80 |
| 10-30 20:20 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.547037037 | $14.77 |
| 10-30 20:01 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9892710152 | $21.54 |
| 10-30 19:59 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $303.78 |
| 10-30 13:24 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.541 | $59.79 |
| 10-30 13:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.481175 | $28.87 |
| 10-30 11:22 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-30 09:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5603357664 | $76.77 |
| 10-29 21:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2865768469 | $44.88 |
| 10-29 15:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1910632727 | $10.51 |
| 10-29 13:38 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.234 | $1.32 |
| 10-29 13:36 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | SELL | 0.0212840438 | $1.69 |
| 10-29 13:27 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | SELL | 0.03358785 | $6.72 |
| 10-29 09:57 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | SELL | 0.0355536711 | $1.59 |
| 10-28 21:29 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9294248716 | $1.3k |