0x42b9046B315e5F0eA323D2311797165CeeC41eD0-1715791189914
0x42b9046b315e5f0ea323d2311797165ceec41ed0
- Realised P&L
- $-50.40
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $230.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.745 | $116.79 | +$0.78 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? · No | 0.730 | 0.740 | $48.10 | +$0.65 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? · No | 0.770 | 0.760 | $36.48 | −$0.48 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 6? · No | 0.800 | 0.775 | $23.25 | −$0.75 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 4? · No | 0.700 | 0.740 | $5.92 | +$0.32 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.88at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$61.73at 0.448Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:16 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $116.01 |
| 09-30 22:14 | Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? | BUY | 0.77 | $36.96 |
| 09-30 22:13 | Manchester City punishment announced by December 4? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.60 |
| 09-30 22:12 | Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? | BUY | 0.73 | $47.45 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Manchester City punishment announced by November 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 07-06 19:15 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 19:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 06-06 20:47 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 23:02 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1176168494 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 16:43 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $48.32 |