0x42b316bd04bc6ed3d075ebf174e861fb883dc57e
- Realised P&L
- $-34.97
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $412.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.52at 0.222Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
- +$31.46at 0.527US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$29.83at 0.040Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$29.77at 0.418Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$24.46at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1470588235 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 06:43 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.43 |
| 08-01 17:14 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.204 | $3.41 |
| 08-01 03:06 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2896909639 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 03:06 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:05 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.4163859981 | $4.40 |
| 08-01 01:48 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.55 |
| 07-23 19:07 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3789999867 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 19:07 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.67 |
| 07-19 14:37 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999961 | $9.00 |
| 07-19 14:31 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.50 |
| 07-19 14:14 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.20 |
| 07-19 09:30 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.99 |
| 07-16 13:06 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-16 11:47 | Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $8.00 |