darkprince
0x42b29dec8d688750563a45f86541edafc195e1f0
- Realised P&L
- $-513.33
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $58.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.911 | 0.118 | $47.42 | −$318.58 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$59.50 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$184.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.61at 0.150MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$129.78at 0.760MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$56.81at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$41.10at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.10at 0.757Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 18:44 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.68 | $40.80 |
| 07-15 15:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $58.09 |
| 06-15 17:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 06-15 16:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 06-11 15:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 05-29 17:45 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | SELL | 0.002 | $0.80 |
| 05-29 17:11 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 05-29 17:11 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 05-29 17:11 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 16:49 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | SELL | 0.14 | $56.00 |
| 05-20 14:20 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 05-20 14:15 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 05-20 14:13 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 05-20 14:05 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 05-19 17:47 | Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants | SELL | 0.997 | $498.50 |