0x42b279b94eb8404095b0b1f9ffcd9038461c00c3
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $288.3k
- Markets traded
- 6,383
- Open portfolio
- $176.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,383
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.91at 0.500No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$54.96at 0.630Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
- +$51.94at 0.500Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$48.64at 0.500Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$45.20at 0.500Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 08:52 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | SELL | 0.914 | $4.57 |
| 03-15 11:20 | Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.5 | $13.64 |
| 03-15 11:19 | Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.908 | $37.71 |
| 03-11 10:30 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 03-10 19:00 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.935 | $9.35 |
| 03-10 18:52 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 03-10 11:42 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 02-23 18:13 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.04 |
| 02-23 18:13 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.04 |
| 02-23 18:12 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.04 |
| 02-23 11:58 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.30 |
| 02-23 11:57 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.30 |
| 02-23 11:55 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.30 |
| 02-23 11:53 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.30 |
| 02-23 11:47 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.74 |