NFA.Club
0x42aae316c0103ff747fde7058051907cd5bf6984
- Realised P&L
- $-26.29
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $10.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.96at 0.325Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?
- +$13.19at 0.281Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5%-12.5%?
- +$12.86at 0.315U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$10.93at 0.414Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
- +$9.95at 0.507Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:34 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.87 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.91 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.3437037037 | $4.64 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | SELL | 0.126 | $7.02 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.32 |
| 09-09 12:32 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.44 | $7.26 |
| 09-09 12:32 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.61 |
| 09-09 12:32 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.198 | $4.71 |
| 09-07 17:29 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.82 |
| 09-07 17:28 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.515 | $2.29 |
| 09-07 17:28 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.94 |
| 09-07 17:28 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.94 |
| 09-07 17:27 | Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.94 |
| 08-27 21:45 | Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.87 |
| 08-27 21:42 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.42 |