0x42A1fBadaA3CdF25c6590BB398d67f5f96881E87-1775235975368
0x42a1fbadaa3cdf25c6590bb398d67f5f96881e87
- Realised P&L
- $-67.30
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $4.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.969 | $2.48 | +$1.48 |
| Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.935 | $2.08 | +$1.08 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.049 | $0.24 | −$0.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.58at 0.860Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$9.15at 0.366Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$5.34at 0.981Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$5.34at 0.876Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$4.90at 0.649Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.846 | $2.98 |
| 10-05 00:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8479999457 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:08 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9945089108 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 22:05 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9973302915 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 21:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8509999685 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 07:56 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:55 | Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:34 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.09 |
| 10-04 07:33 | Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.45 |
| 10-02 17:34 | Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.98 | $300.00 |
| 09-30 01:11 | Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 02:39 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 22:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |