PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x42A1fBadaA3CdF25c6590BB398d67f5f96881E87-1775235975368

0x42a1fbadaa3cdf25c6590bb398d67f5f96881e87

Realised P&L
$-67.30
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$4.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes0.3900.969$2.48+$1.48
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? · Yes0.4500.935$2.08+$1.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1800.049$0.24−$0.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Under0.9000.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.846$2.98
10-05 00:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8479999457$1.00
10-04 22:08Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9945089108$50.00
10-04 22:05Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9973302915$100.00
10-04 21:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8509999685$2.00
10-04 07:56Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-04 07:55Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-04 07:34Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.999$2.09
10-04 07:33Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.999$76.45
10-02 17:34Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.98$300.00
09-30 01:11Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 5.5BUY0.9699999968$6.00
09-23 02:39Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9539999828$2.00
09-14 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.96$1.05
09-14 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.91$1.00
09-14 22:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00