0x429bb5053a187522336b336c9fbf7eac8ae8f607
- Realised P&L
- $5.95
- Volume
- $62.97
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $3.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.994 | $2.26 | +$1.26 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.395 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.140 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?
- +$0.80at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:00 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:00 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:59 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 23:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 05:16 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 21:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 01:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 03:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 09:24 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7089999121 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 01:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 16:45 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |