PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x429bb5053a187522336b336c9fbf7eac8ae8f607

Realised P&L
$5.95
Volume
$62.97
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$3.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.4400.994$2.26+$1.26
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.7500.395$0.53$0.47
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.3400.140$0.41$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 07:00Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-14 07:00Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-13 22:59Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-13 00:49Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-11 23:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-11 05:16Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-10 21:10Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-10 01:06SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.4$1.00
09-09 03:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-08 00:48Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-07 09:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-04 00:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-01 09:24Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7089999121$1.00
08-31 01:18Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-30 16:45Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.55$1.00