torontokiwi
0x4293322c2fa1bcd4727706f681baf6e572bbbd78
- Realised P&L
- $76.80
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $333.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.972 | $208.92 | +$8.92 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.850 | $125.00 | +$25.00 |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.872 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$153.23 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$492.28at 0.345Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$97.11at 0.734Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$60.29at 0.457Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$49.20at 0.889Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
- +$37.03at 0.889Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:17 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.08 |
| 10-04 10:16 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.076419595 | $14.68 |
| 10-04 10:12 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 09:54 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 09:53 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 09:52 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9767268196 | $80.00 |
| 10-04 09:50 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 09:50 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9388752974 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 09:50 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9531844869 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 09:45 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9547278841 | $38.00 |
| 10-04 09:44 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9499999877 | $27.00 |
| 10-04 09:43 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9499999746 | $28.00 |
| 10-04 09:38 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 09:38 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8899999982 | $15.00 |