PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mefirofan

0x4292c99987e418a2a6ec69f2ba9aa79086a44a08

Realised P&L
$-23.5k
Volume
$307.7k
Markets traded
236
Open portfolio
$28.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded236
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9480.991$3.9k+$169.36
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.8100.880$3.9k+$308.70
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8810.885$2.4k+$11.77
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.6890.755$1.5k+$130.74
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8230.831$1.4k+$12.74
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.496$1.1k+$57.75
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4930.765$1.0k+$370.15
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6940.855$1.0k+$195.73
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7630.720$936.00−$56.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6090.710$772.53+$109.41
Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · No0.6150.590$660.44−$28.00
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.9060.707$636.30−$179.13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6770.415$631.52−$399.20
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.4910.650$614.25+$149.80
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8800.925$555.30+$27.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:33Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$2.40
09-25 07:32Linera FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.08$2.40
09-25 07:31Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch?SELL0.05$1.00
09-25 07:31Ethos FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.02$0.40
09-22 17:57Jumper listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.49$9.80
09-22 17:52Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?BUY0.6$35.31
09-20 13:32Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.976$58.55
09-20 13:32Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.976$97.59
09-18 21:05Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.49$37.96
09-18 21:02Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?SELL0.001$0.07
09-18 20:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30?BUY0.322$35.44
09-18 20:54Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?BUY0.54$4.81
09-18 20:39Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.76$22.80
09-18 20:35Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.62$105.19
09-18 20:33Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.5998097882$611.44