0x4c80
0x4282891dfdcf016875a8567387bcee9946cdfd9e
- Realised P&L
- $4.44
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $115.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.967 | $115.98 | −$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.59at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?
- +$0.40at 0.996Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?
- +$0.37at 0.997Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
- +$0.25at 0.998Will BNB dip to $200 in June?
- +$0.25at 0.998Will Larry Page be richest person on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:54 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $117.36 |
| 12-15 16:57 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 11-14 20:47 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $10.00 |
| 11-14 20:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.972 | $5.5k |