0x427cf9e66ab9e7ea99fbf64680622e6b8d2c7a58
0x427cf9e66ab9e7ea99fbf64680622e6b8d2c7a58
- Realised P&L
- $-76.07
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $78.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.103 | $34.52 | −$19.64 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.040 | $26.87 | −$18.14 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.125 | $13.78 | −$8.22 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.036 | $3.60 | −$7.40 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.09at 0.283Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$65.30at 0.322Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
- +$21.56at 0.526Eagles vs. Chiefs
- +$17.61at 0.460Spread: Chargers (-4.5)
- +$17.48at 0.211Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:46 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.1839999997 | $32.39 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3309333582 | $35.46 |
| 09-26 18:45 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.1382530636 | $21.77 |
| 09-26 18:45 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-26 18:42 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 00:43 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.1995464853 | $22.00 |
| 09-23 00:42 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.019 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 23:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 02:48 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $54.77 |
| 09-10 23:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.0312293041 | $32.00 |
| 09-06 01:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.3116849396 | $30.01 |
| 09-06 01:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0720215508 | $10.01 |
| 09-06 01:38 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $40.93 |
| 07-16 02:20 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0656938175 | $35.00 |