grt435
0x427c7f12f4b2f0291c4d68d4d132f43dde568bae
- Realised P&L
- $9.00
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $5.57 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? · No | 0.934 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.958Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
- +$0.61at 0.924Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 14?
- +$0.50at 0.983Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 28?
- +$0.48at 0.910Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5
- +$0.46at 0.952Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:53 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.61 |
| 10-08 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.53 |
| 10-06 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.934 | $4.75 |
| 09-26 02:23 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $4.85 |
| 09-04 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.6k |
| 07-13 02:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 07-06 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.54 |
| 07-02 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 3? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.93 |
| 06-26 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.07 |
| 06-15 12:26 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.994 | $16.70 |
| 06-09 12:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.9500947368 | $9.03 |
| 06-02 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.975 | $14.14 |
| 05-27 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.982 | $28.48 |
| 05-19 11:29 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $6.64 |
| 05-13 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14? | BUY | 0.991 | $12.88 |