PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

grt435

0x427c7f12f4b2f0291c4d68d4d132f43dde568bae

Realised P&L
$9.00
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$5.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? · No0.9980.991$5.57−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7? · No0.9340.000$0.00−$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 00:53Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13?BUY0.998$5.61
10-08 12:50Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10?BUY0.95$6.53
10-06 15:32Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?BUY0.934$4.75
09-26 02:23Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5BUY0.91$4.85
09-04 09:50Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?BUY0.998$2.6k
07-13 02:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 14?BUY0.92$7.36
07-06 14:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?BUY0.95$6.54
07-02 14:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 3?BUY0.988$5.93
06-26 16:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 28?BUY0.975$9.07
06-15 12:26Spread: Senegal (-2.5)BUY0.994$16.70
06-09 12:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026?BUY0.9500947368$9.03
06-02 11:54Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?BUY0.975$14.14
05-27 13:15Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 28?BUY0.982$28.48
05-19 11:29Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.964$6.64
05-13 06:28Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?BUY0.991$12.88