0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941
0x4278f7e5cb5f2d68d204d7403270c79cb07e0e92
- Realised P&L
- $-9.0k
- Volume
- $1.54M
- Markets traded
- 617
- Open portfolio
- $11.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded617
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.800 | 0.795 | $6.6k | −$41.54 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.510 | $2.0k | +$0.00 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.515 | $1.8k | +$51.18 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.600 | 0.615 | $1.3k | +$30.74 |
| Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.515 | $121.61 | −$1.18 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.8k |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) · Clippers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$349.80 |
| Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Raptors vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.14 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5 · Under | 0.549 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$589.21 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5 · Over | 0.541 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$789.56 |
| Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics · Chicago Sky | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$344.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.472Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
- +$5.7kat 0.220Suns vs. Timberwolves
- +$4.7kat 0.536Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
- +$4.4kat 0.198Rockets vs. Pelicans
- +$4.1kat 0.533Wizards vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 08:43 | Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $122.79 |
| 11-02 07:31 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.7k |
| 11-02 07:26 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.8 | $6.6k |
| 11-02 06:16 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 23:18 | Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 16:27 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6489112552 | $6.1k |
| 10-31 16:14 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.67 | $527.96 |
| 10-31 07:02 | Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 06:47 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.76 | $7.6k |
| 10-31 06:44 | Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.8k |
| 10-30 22:57 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.79 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 22:57 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.79 | $1.6k |
| 10-30 22:51 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.6954384368 | $664.85 |
| 10-30 06:44 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $157.50 |
| 10-30 06:43 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $2.7k |