greenwojak
0x426ca3545421f722197742a5a198c55c5282c0a5
- Realised P&L
- $-875.59
- Volume
- $133.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $25.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.070 | $25.20 | −$41.76 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.97 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.56at 0.320Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-2.00at 0.004Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
- +$-3.57at 0.140Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
- +$-5.00at 0.004Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
- +$-5.00at 0.002Will 达人 Wenxue600 win the Synthetix trading competition?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 00:25 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $17.56 |
| 01-21 00:20 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 01-21 00:16 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3551546392 | $27.56 |
| 01-19 19:00 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999972 | $38.00 |
| 01-19 19:00 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 01-19 18:58 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | BUY | 0.1912695245 | $58.46 |
| 01-19 18:57 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $46.43 |
| 01-19 18:56 | Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud? | BUY | 0.0424426423 | $25.00 |
| 01-19 18:56 | Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | BUY | 0.04686096 | $25.00 |
| 01-19 18:56 | Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? | BUY | 0.0433640814 | $50.00 |
| 01-18 21:14 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 01-18 02:04 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 21:07 | Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? | BUY | 0.0142704924 | $3.00 |
| 01-17 20:58 | Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | BUY | 0.0371282292 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 20:58 | Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.00 |