0x4262581c739ea461e7cc79509b34352ae5aab8b4
0x4262581c739ea461e7cc79509b34352ae5aab8b4
- Realised P&L
- $-467.01
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.56at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$33.52at 0.105Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$31.84at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$30.19at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$27.99at 0.312Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 10-15 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $28.97 |
| 10-15 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999959 | $17.00 |
| 10-15 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $25.91 |
| 10-15 20:51 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 10-15 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5780730866 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 20:47 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 20:05 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999917 | $9.98 |
| 10-15 18:35 | Will SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099999899 | $12.00 |
| 10-15 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $14.93 |
| 10-15 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-15 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.1547756789 | $2.62 |
| 10-15 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |