PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

James-Talarico

0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$648.0k
Markets traded
1,712
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,712
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6980.655$1.8k−$115.86
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes0.6190.750$1.3k+$221.07
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes0.7640.735$1.2k−$46.60
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7210.865$841.14+$139.99
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6880.735$661.50+$42.50
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.7140.850$527.76+$84.20
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? · Yes0.6460.700$489.99+$38.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6330.715$429.00+$49.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4230.695$412.05+$161.19
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.785$392.50+$52.50
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.7300.765$382.50+$17.50
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7490.740$375.02−$4.63
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.7060.771$308.40+$26.00
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7510.865$259.50+$34.20
Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? · Yes0.9460.947$245.86+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:40Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.992$20.57
11-01 09:40Will the Kia Tigers win the 2026 Korean Series?BUY0.904$13.56
11-01 07:49Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.001$0.01
11-01 06:15Will Dardo be named Fnatic LoL General Manager by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
11-01 06:08CNN barred from White House again by October 31?BUY0.99$9.90
11-01 04:01Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$3.94
11-01 02:28Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by October 31?BUY0.9895206074$22.81
11-01 02:19Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by October 31?BUY0.997$313.01
11-01 01:09Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.993$354.63
10-31 15:59Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.99$7.92
10-31 15:58Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.941$18.82
10-31 15:57Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.989$39.07
10-31 15:56Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.98$514.59
10-31 15:55Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.9552243393$77.71
10-31 15:50Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.99$0.08