PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

YesMannnn

0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$530.7k
Markets traded
1,074
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,074
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5630.545$443.91$14.65
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8710.935$340.35+$23.22
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6160.575$287.50$20.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4230.475$281.62+$30.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7620.565$254.21$88.54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.7290.795$232.39+$19.32
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.8800.951$216.02+$16.02
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.8200.925$181.96+$20.65
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.825$173.03+$26.22
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6800.705$140.99+$5.00
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.8320.715$127.53$20.88
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.8500.960$81.50+$9.34
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.3670.650$73.23+$31.83
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.1400.135$54.00$2.00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.925$46.25+$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:18Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.88$200.00
08-02 01:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$29.96
08-01 16:32Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.6$162.00
08-01 13:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?SELL0.999$29.97
08-01 12:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.669$20.06
08-01 04:37US x China tariff agreement by July 31?BUY0.999$19.98
07-31 22:27U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.993$198.60
07-31 14:40Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.89$233.20
07-31 11:32Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?SELL0.73$73.00
07-31 10:56Will Bruce Banner die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.999$114.89
07-31 10:36Will Ned Leeds die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.999$114.89
07-31 10:27Will Frank Castle die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.9985348837$214.68
07-31 10:21Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.999$114.89
07-31 10:21Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.998$99.80
07-31 10:20Will Peter Parker (Tom Holland) die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.999$869.03