YesMannnn
0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $530.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,074
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,074
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$495.03at 0.924Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
- +$245.10at 0.956Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$239.13at 0.010Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$209.03at 0.034Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$206.62at 0.959Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:18 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.88 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.96 |
| 08-01 16:32 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.6 | $162.00 |
| 08-01 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-01 12:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.669 | $20.06 |
| 08-01 04:37 | US x China tariff agreement by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-31 22:27 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 07-31 14:40 | Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.89 | $233.20 |
| 07-31 11:32 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-31 10:56 | Will Bruce Banner die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-31 10:36 | Will Ned Leeds die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-31 10:27 | Will Frank Castle die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.9985348837 | $214.68 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-31 10:20 | Will Peter Parker (Tom Holland) die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.999 | $869.03 |