PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

James-Talarico

0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$598.7k
Markets traded
1,391
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,391
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes0.7670.785$1.2k+$26.27
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7210.775$752.17+$52.65
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.8800.947$378.80+$26.80
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4230.590$349.80+$98.94
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6770.715$214.49+$11.50
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.6600.900$180.00+$48.00
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8520.893$178.70+$8.30
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.6400.545$163.50$28.50
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3770.615$150.63+$58.25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.1570.555$116.55+$83.65
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.8800.960$96.00+$8.00
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes0.2430.240$95.72$1.21
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes0.7980.855$88.06+$5.90
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes0.8330.875$86.70+$4.18
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Yes0.9241.000$72.62+$5.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:39Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?BUY0.95$120.65
09-17 12:39Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?BUY0.948$62.58
09-17 04:50Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$99.00
09-17 04:48Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$4.95
09-17 04:48Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$4.95
09-17 03:26Will Franco Poggio win Big Brother Argentina 2026?BUY0.994$1.17
09-17 03:23Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?BUY0.99$8.53
09-17 03:23Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?BUY0.989$6.92
09-17 03:23Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?BUY0.9849254839$61.07
09-17 03:23Will Catalina "Titi" Tcherkaski win Big Brother Argentina 2026?BUY0.9922232388$54.23
09-17 02:43Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?BUY0.9941666769$161.64
09-17 01:09Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.0049195402$2.14
09-16 09:22Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?BUY0.867$21.75
09-16 07:29Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.999$1.3k
09-16 07:28Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?BUY0.99$618.25