PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bereit

0x4260349d355f5cac9ecefe054f3e2f8568971ddf

Realised P&L
$-171.62
Volume
$51.9k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$7.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0270.021$3.98−$1.02
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0900.085$1.89−$0.11
Will Peru win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Canada win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.2300.195$0.85−$0.15
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro0.3750.000$0.00−$25.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar0.0300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska · Weronika Falkowska0.4300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$12.99
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Daniil Medvedev0.7600.000$0.00−$40.00
Will St. Kitts and Nevis win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:06Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
10-05 21:06Will Canada win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-05 21:06Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 21:04Will St. Kitts and Nevis win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-05 21:02Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-05 21:02Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.16$1.00
10-05 21:00Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0269999999$5.00
10-04 13:57Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$3.00
10-04 13:53Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
10-04 13:53Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.027$6.43
10-04 13:50Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
10-04 13:43Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
10-04 13:42Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$10.00
10-04 13:42Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
10-04 13:42Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.001$10.00