0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
0x424eb20fcd25113e3b98f42522a54580350b263b
- Realised P&L
- $212.9k
- Volume
- $33.37M
- Markets traded
- 123,101
- Open portfolio
- $338.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded123,101
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.515 | $185.40 | −$9.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.440 | 0.425 | $84.99 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up | 0.823 | 0.675 | $63.28 | −$13.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.880 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$8.3kat 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$6.9kat 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$3.9kat 0.586Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.596Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $64.47 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $12.70 |
| 09-18 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-18 00:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $21.39 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $78.89 |
| 09-18 00:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $75.19 |
| 09-18 00:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $2.42 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $15.50 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $48.68 |
| 09-17 23:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2165451285 | $21.74 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $2.54 |
| 09-17 23:43 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $13.04 |
| 09-17 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.405 | $4.05 |
| 09-17 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $22.78 |