PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

duncka

0x424e98c96493458fcdc987afd44afde235073520

Realised P&L
$-581.64
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$42.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.019$24.38$75.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0630.020$18.56$39.67
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$391.11
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$110.00
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$162.00
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$50.33
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$150.00
Will Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$49.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 18:35Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0279979319$99.00
03-20 18:55Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0539823791$49.82
02-23 09:18Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0627529453$58.23
02-23 09:17Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
02-23 09:12Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0895316641$50.00
02-23 09:11Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0539274644$50.00
02-23 09:02Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0522149033$257.62
01-28 15:11Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
01-28 15:11Will Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?BUY0.129999998$49.00
01-21 09:29Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0889038892$92.30
01-21 09:28Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.1796299623$100.00
01-20 07:30Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?BUY0.0788165926$50.33
01-20 06:49Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.25$12.00
01-20 05:57Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?BUY0.1231509624$100.00
01-18 14:19US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.0104279725$10.00