juanalan
0x424ce8f62f7d9b7495e78c9671113e9975b39fcf
- Realised P&L
- $-383.39
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $41.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.30at 0.445Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
- +$158.78at 0.635Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$134.94at 0.210Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$129.36at 0.460US military action against Iran before July?
- +$101.40at 0.747League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAM
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:40 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 23:37 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 23:37 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 23:36 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 23:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.25 |
| 09-24 23:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $24.75 |
| 08-02 15:20 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:19 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:18 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.72 |
| 07-24 11:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999955 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 11:01 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.31 |
| 07-19 20:18 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2074999718 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 01:51 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 01:50 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6150793609 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 01:50 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6150793609 | $10.00 |