deep369
0x42482ca79414b416a3df8b0527cd7854add4c46f
- Realised P&L
- $40.50
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $63.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.24at 0.127Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$16.36at 0.584Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.43at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 20?
- +$1.34at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?
- +$1.10at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 00:37 | Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 08-04 05:07 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 03:02 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 00:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 05:07 | Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006046823 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:32 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:31 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 03:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999791 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.00 |
| 07-27 00:47 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $86.24 |
| 07-24 00:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 07-23 01:22 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.71 |
| 07-22 05:05 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.34 |