PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4245f58481403411C7a1947E46a850f2ff13497d-1776329214242

0x4245f58481403411c7a1947e46a850f2ff13497d

Realised P&L
$-166.44
Volume
$60.5k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$158.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.4620.998$158.08+$84.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.4440.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$118.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.3870.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$20.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Kansas City Royals0.7700.000$0.00−$141.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 09:09Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.4615789098$73.15
09-20 20:07Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.77$141.91
09-20 20:05Vikings vs. BearsSELL0.999$140.10
09-20 20:00Vikings vs. BearsBUY0.82$115.00
09-13 14:58Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.9979622094$220.24
09-13 12:51Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.4199999985$92.69
09-06 15:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.5170115637$24.58
09-06 15:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.75$19.00
09-06 12:22Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.5099999985$100.00
08-22 12:18Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.2099999838$9.70
07-26 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
07-26 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
07-26 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
07-26 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
07-26 09:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.4835923857$10.00