PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x424555d3840d028a5129c6822f6dd807f2c0152c

Realised P&L
$6.82
Volume
$245.04
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$42.63

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? · Yes0.6100.997$16.13+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.8120.997$10.81+$2.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.6870.465$1.70$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.8590.630$1.61$0.59
Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Lions vs Bills game? · Yes0.6900.820$1.31+$0.21
Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.8100.910$1.24+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.5300.470$1.22$0.16
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8980.977$1.20+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes0.6200.535$1.16$0.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5700.575$1.15+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? · Yes0.9000.935$1.14+$0.04
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6300.610$1.10$0.04
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.9800.935$1.05$0.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? · No0.5600.500$0.99$0.12
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.5800.335$0.82$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.998$1.14
09-17 22:49Cunha vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 23.5BUY0.99$0.94
09-17 22:49Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.5299999155$1.38
09-17 22:48Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.6199999167$1.34
09-17 22:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.5599998682$1.02
09-17 22:43Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageSELL0.999$2.23
09-17 22:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.999$1.11
09-17 22:42Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.8099999926$1.10
09-17 22:37Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia PodoroskaSELL0.999$4.31
09-17 22:36Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.99$1.10
09-17 22:36Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.98$1.10
09-17 22:27Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17?SELL0.999$2.60
09-17 22:03Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Iva JovicSELL0.999$6.41
09-17 21:57Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia PodoroskaBUY0.6$1.62
09-17 21:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?BUY0.9$1.10